Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.637965 0.831055 1.049892 1.312980 1.617427 1.955581 2.356461
2025-02-23 0.368139 0.601193 0.902831 1.306405 1.817258 2.428462 3.200919
2025-03-02 0.199603 0.425629 0.763738 1.265702 1.953806 2.829230 3.992154
2025-03-09 0.125251 0.348019 0.728199 1.342705 2.237406 3.426663 5.061146
2025-03-16 0.067496 0.263351 0.652937 1.341267 2.404258 3.876096 5.961810
2025-03-23 0.043049 0.229309 0.649648 1.443415 2.721165 4.539956 7.169788
2025-03-30 0.024776 0.193211 0.629471 1.510084 2.984820 5.138315 8.309362
2025-04-06 0.012102 0.156369 0.593714 1.540099 3.188499 5.655602 9.351549
2025-04-13 0.003857 0.114862 0.529016 1.502607 3.275322 6.000960 10.160329
2025-04-20 0.001026 0.090383 0.495252 1.516104 3.442308 6.466852 11.148077
2025-04-27 0.000121 0.071033 0.465689 1.531012 3.608847 6.934277 12.146594
2025-05-04 NaN 0.049150 0.412684 1.483786 3.659207 7.220712 12.886230
2025-05-11 NaN 0.031732 0.360805 1.429931 3.696077 7.493361 13.624565
2025-05-18 NaN 0.022461 0.334605 1.432065 3.835731 7.934023 14.624161
2025-05-25 NaN 0.013601 0.296161 1.393338 3.892420 8.240688 15.429006
2025-06-01 NaN 0.011766 0.302669 1.477928 4.195517 8.960326 16.874477
2025-06-08 NaN 0.007552 0.280956 1.477661 4.327774 9.399371 17.899481
2025-06-15 NaN 0.007093 0.295598 1.587330 4.688900 10.230197 19.540224
2025-06-22 NaN 0.005763 0.297690 1.658759 4.973972 10.938770 21.002991
2025-06-29 NaN 0.003962 0.287826 1.690926 5.178262 11.514573 22.268756
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001822 0.257853 1.651072 5.226904 11.824399 23.124474
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000969 0.245027 1.665506 5.391451 12.336391 24.303306
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000457 0.233451 1.681417 5.558778 12.855430 25.498983